1 · The unit
The input is an absolute percentage-point change in a predicted action probability. Entering 1 means, for example, 2% → 3%, not a 1% relative increase.
X value model · sensitivity instrument
Change one predicted action probability. See its direct contribution to X’s public value-model score, with every other output held still.
Frozen source record
Defaults mirrored September 25, 2026
xai-org/x-algorithm · 4c5cfe8
Bench notes
Use this to compare the mechanical score effect of the same modeled probability change across selected actions. It can help prioritize what to investigate. It cannot tell you which creative choice will move a probability, whether a post will win a feed slot, or how many impressions follow.
For one included model head i, the instrument reports Δsᵢ = wᵢΔpᵢ while all other predicted outputs are fixed. It does not propagate the perturbation through reranking, eligibility, author multipliers, diversity constraints, top-K selection, or the distribution of competing candidates.
The machine has many levers, but this bench isolates one at a time. The length of a lever tells you how far the local gear turns—not whether your hand can reach it, nor whether the movement survives the rest of the machine.
The input is an absolute percentage-point change in a predicted action probability. Entering 1 means, for example, 2% → 3%, not a 1% relative increase.
The displayed weights are selected public defaults in home-mixer/params/param.rs at the frozen commit. X notes that experiments can override defaults.
Weights multiply model outputs, not observed engagement counts. “One report cancels 468 likes” is therefore not a valid reading. Scores are personalized and only one stage in distribution.